Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.074606 0.082895 0.092016 0.102852 0.115441 0.129688 0.147147
2024-10-13 0.060880 0.071726 0.084646 0.101377 0.122773 0.149648 0.186664
2024-10-20 0.052887 0.065212 0.080845 0.102577 0.132751 0.174364 0.238377
2024-10-27 0.046507 0.059402 0.076583 0.101878 0.139503 0.195795 0.291612
2024-11-03 0.042363 0.055769 0.074413 0.103301 0.149077 0.223084 0.362429
2024-11-10 0.039046 0.052740 0.072499 0.104524 0.158253 0.251643 0.445724
2024-11-17 0.035935 0.049579 0.069879 0.104064 0.164341 0.276147 0.531019
2024-11-24 0.033719 0.047460 0.068509 0.105288 0.173403 0.308372 0.647784
2024-12-01 0.031832 0.045621 0.067310 0.106528 0.182613 0.343391 0.790218
2024-12-08 0.030134 0.043894 0.066065 0.107436 0.191275 0.379778 0.959276
2024-12-15 0.028461 0.042046 0.064399 0.107289 0.197690 0.412968 1.142678
2024-12-22 0.026810 0.040089 0.062338 0.106082 0.201557 0.441115 1.332005
2024-12-29 0.025831 0.039194 0.062086 0.108466 0.214230 0.498086 1.694767
2025-01-05 0.024312 0.037269 0.059813 0.106475 0.216308 0.526189 1.966812
2025-01-12 0.023355 0.036240 0.059077 0.107583 0.226273 0.582824 2.468897
2025-01-19 0.022240 0.034851 0.057541 0.106765 0.231180 0.625531 2.969672
2025-01-26 0.021497 0.034068 0.057081 0.108249 0.242614 0.697104 3.835349
2025-02-02 0.020790 0.033296 0.056567 0.109537 0.253876 0.774759 4.994370
2025-02-09 0.019947 0.032218 0.055356 0.109042 0.259891 0.835105 6.223869
2025-02-16 0.019349 0.031556 0.054921 0.110342 0.271747 0.929250 8.357715
2025-02-23 0.018794 0.030935 0.054515 0.111660 0.284092 1.035426 11.484191
2025-03-02 0.018242 0.030286 0.053996 0.112626 0.295634 1.147570 15.968201
2025-03-09 0.017629 0.029482 0.053085 0.112469 0.303363 1.246061 21.670166